Well yes it does.
The reason you
differentiate sandals from sneakers is to know whether you need to tie laces.
Likewise the distinction between coup and revolution defines how you react. So...
Was it a revolution?
Of course
it was.
Millions of
people demanding change took to streets all over the country with very valid grievances.
Rising prices, fuel shortages, power cuts, government incompetence and a
failing economy affected everybody day in day out. Criticism of the government was met with stubbornness and intransigence boding foul for the
future. Furthermore, autocratic, power-grabbing measures including a November,
God-like constitutional decree and a December divisive constitution were
threatening everybody’s future and Egypt’s very identity.
The people
on the street were not a homogeneous group and claims that felool or Christians
or anti-Islamists led the fray are ridiculous. Egyptians of different ages, income classes,
religions, political affiliations and geographies were all present.
They had
different drivers but shared a single goal, defined clearly on the Tamarud
petition: changing the president through early elections.
Morsy and
the MB failed to deliver on their campaign promises. More critically they
failed to fulfil the demands of the January 25th revolution and
therefore they needed to go. So much so, that for many, this is an extension of the original revolution. The streets again demanding change.
So yes, very
clearly, this is a revolution.
Was it a military coup?
Of course
it was. The Chairman of SCAF, Minister of Defense and Military Production, Supreme
Commander of the Armed Forces unilaterally suspends the 64% approved constitution,
removes the first ever democratically elected President in Egypt’s 7,000 year history,
puts him, his family and advisers under house arrest, installs a new temp president,
gives said temp God-like constitutional decree powers (ring a bell?), dissolves the elected Senate,
shuts down opposition TV stations, arrests their owners and employees and detains
some 300 of the President’s party.
The
military had its reasons for taking all these measures, but none of these measures,
with the exception of early elections, was a demand of the revolting millions
on the streets. In the days that follow it becomes clear that the temp President
is no more than a place holder and that all strings are held and pulled, by the
military.
So yes, very clearly this is a coup.
Conclusion. It was a revolution AND it was a coup. So how
to react?
Only one
way.
We must resist
the coup as if there were no revolution and support the revolution as if there
were no coup.
Resist the coup
The coup
means the military has decided that civilian Egyptians are incapable of running
the country in a way the military finds acceptable. It means we have been re-infantilized,
our budding political processes nipped, our dreams of democratically running
the country rudely awakened by the guys with the tanks. It means to recurrently
press “pause” right at the moment when the late Omar Soliman reflects rhetorically
and philosophically “Everybody wants democracy. But when?”
It means a
quick return to – if you believe we ever left –the patriarchal control of the
military and its less subtle nephew the police. It possibly means witch hunts
for Islamists first then other opposition, whoever they may be. It possibly means
human rights abuses galore (virginity tests anyone?) It likely means a setting back of the clock, hopefully
to some year within this current decade and not much earlier.
This must
be resisted in every non-belligerent way. Police brutality cannot be allowed to
return. Corruption cannot be allowed to return. Those who for decades raped and
pillaged Egypt’s economy and its politics cannot be allowed to return.
Our
military must be preserved outside of the political game. Their preferred position seems to be above and beyond politics, which is not exactly the same thing.
Support the Revolution
On the
other hand , a revolution as we have learned over the past 30 months, is a fierce
but fragile creature full of potential and fraught with weakness.
We must learn
from yester-revolution’s mistakes. Here are the main seven lessons.
- No piggy-backing. The old regime cannot be allowed to take credit for, or benefit from, this revolution. The clean slate the MoI claims is a glaring example, there are many others.
- No infighting. As quickly as possible, and at serious signs of good will, all parties, including the MB, must be brought back to the table.
- BUT. No noble expectations this time. Nobody should be in any doubt that only promises which carry penalties and which we are capable of enforcing will be kept.
- The revolution must have a voice. A huge lesson here is the role of media. It cannot be ignored. Media creates perception. Perception is everything. The revolution must have its media. Not felool media. Not Islamist media. Not foreign media.
- No side-battles. It is imperative to maintain laser-sharp focus on our goals: Bread, Freedom, Social Justice and Human Dignity.
- We must build political parties around these principles. Parties that are well-financed and organized. Parties capable of winning elections.
- We must identify and support new leaders who believe deeply in these values, leaders who are willing and able to inspire Egyptians
In a way,
this coup-revolution revolution-coup is a blessing.
Everybody
is learning in Egypt. At break neck speed.
The
military are learning that massive change needs popular support and that power
is tenuous.
The MB are
learning that you just can’t do things this way. They must change. They need to
open up and learn to trust and share.
The liberals
are learning they have to actually work to get things done. That real power needs
direction and leadership otherwise it is easy to have your efforts and even your ideals usurped.
We are all
learning the power of media and the scarcity of truth. We need to individually and
collectively create filters that are beyond personal preferences.
One of the
biggest lessons that I am not sure has been delivered is that we are all here
to stay. The MB are not going to all be hanged or jailed. The liberals aren't
all going to run off to Canada. We’re all here to stay.
Let us all not widen
the gaps more than we can hope to bridge soon.
Optimistic? Of course I am. We have switched the lights on and commenced class.
Not once. Twice.